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What Wyckoff taught a century ago about reading tape just flagged this month's close as one that matters

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What Wyckoff taught a century ago about reading tape just flagged this month's close as one that matters

Monthly BTC chart closes in a few days, wanted to share a pattern thats been forming in plain sight. Twice this year price pushed above a specific level, failed to hold it, closed back below by months end. Same level, twice, months apart. Textbook monthly swing failure pattern, usually means theres a wall of trapped supply sitting right there. People who bought too early or got caught on the way down tend to sell into any strength that reaches them, which is exactly why price kept getting turned away at the same spot.

This month's different. Price is trading well above that same zone that rejected it twice before, and unlike the previous two attempts, this isnt just a wick poking through and fading. Its holding, with a few days left before the verdict's in.

Richard Wyckoff, the guy who basically taught the entire field how to read tape and supply versus demand a hundred years ago, put a lot of weight on exactly this. Not where price touches, where it closes. A wick tells you someone tried and got pushed back. A close tells you the sellers defending that level finally ran out of size to keep doing it.

Two failed attempts mark exactly where that trapped supply sits. If this month closes above it instead of rejecting a third time, thats the level flipping from ceiling to floor, confirmed by a bullish monthly SFP, which for anyone who doesnt know yet is roughly 30x more powerful than the same pattern confirming on a daily.

What actually makes this one stand out is the backdrop its happening against. This was a failed push into the prior ATH's resistance, since flipped into support, coming after months of seller exhaustion, max fear, and war news, and its still on course for a bullish monthly SFP despite all of that. Holding this well against that much stacked against it is an incredibly strong tell on its own.

Nothing's confirmed yet, still time left before the candle closes. But if it holds here and price reenters the range on low volume, thats exactly the combo thats caught most people off guard every time its shown up before.

submitted by /u/Suitable_Acadia_190
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